Adventury / King´s Quest 3: To Hair is Human
King´s Quest 3: To Hair is Human
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April 2 2013"Every dollar we invested to map the human genome returned $140 to our economy"--Obama Feb 12 2013In announcing to map the brain Tuesday President Obama repeated a statistic he had used in the State of the Union addressone that we had been meaning to examine more closely Certainly the presidents broader point is correctfederal government investment in research is often an important factor in innovations and scientific achievements that have enhanced Americans lives But 140 times return on investment That sounded a bit too good to be trueLets dig deeper into the dataThe FactsThe presidents factoidwhich he has asserted without citing a sourcecomes from by the Battelle Memorial Institute titled "Economic Impact of the Human Genome Project: How a $38 billion investment drove $796 billion in economic impact created 310000 jobs and launched a genomic revolution" But the studys conclusions have generated controversyNature the prestigious scientific journal published expressing skepticism about the results: "Critics of the report say that the methods used to calculate these numbers despite being common practice in such studies are flawed For example some of the costs of the project such as the salaries of those working on it are counted as benefits" (To the credit of the Human Genome Project it has posted the Nature article on )We spoke to Simon Tripp one of the studys authors and he walked us through the numbers Essentially the study measures the "ripple effect" of government spending to identify the approximately 20000 genes in human DNA much like a stone being thrown in a pond But judgment calls by the researchers can affect how big that stone is or how far those ripples are perceived to have gone After all imagine what the ratio would be if you assumed the initial investment by the Wright Brothers led to the aircraft industry and the space shuttleFor instance the Battelle study measured government spending (which was $56 billion in inflation-adjusted 2010 dollars) from1988 to 2003 when the human genome project was completed But it did not include the additional $7 billion in government follow-on spending from 2003 to 2010 even though the study measured the overall economic effects from 1993 to 2010 Tripp acknowledged that the additional government funding contributed to the economic activity in that period so "you wouldnt be incorrect" to add that funding to the investment total That would lower the ratio to about 60 to 1The study also did not include funding provided by other governments such as the United Kingdom which was a major partner or business investments Tripp said the project would not have been feasible without the US contribution so they only focused on that aspect of the spending "The Battelle research team interviewed leaders in the industry who cited the HGP as foundational and the core impetus for technological development leading to a growth of the industry (ie the leading stimulus effect)" Tripp saidAs for the economic impact that figure includes "direct effects" "indirect effects" and "induced impacts" each of which account for about a third of the total So again the ratio would decline if you decide those later ripples are getting too far from the source ("Induced impacts" refers to the spending of employees in the genetic industry--ie from their salaries--which as Nature noted could also be considered a cost) Even if one accepts the ratio in the study does this actually mean "every dollar we invested to map the human genome returned $140 to our economy" as the president phrased it Tripp said thats not quite what the report said because it speaks of the initial US spending as "foundational"meaning it helped to generate that economic activity not that the economic activity was a direct result from the government spending Heres the key section in the studys summary: The federal government invested $38 billion in the HGP through its completion in 2003 ($56 billion in 2010 $) This investment was foundational in generating the economic output of $796 billion above and thus shows a return on investment (ROI) to the US economy of 141 to 1every $1 of federal HGP investment has contributed to the generation of $141 in the economyWhite House spokesman Matt Lehrich cited that same sentence to defend the presidents statement saying it "is pretty straightforwardly an accurate description of whats in the study"The Pinocchio TestWere not going to get into a debate over the difference between "return" and "generation" But there is a larger question about presidential assertion of facts Without citing a source the president stated as fact a ratio developed by one study which has generated some controversy in the scientific community Theres no question that the gains from federal investment in science have been substantial The president correctly cited in the development of the CAT Scan and for the impetus for Google But was it necessary to lard on those facts with a figure that depending on how you juggle the numbers could be much lower Or to use this factoid in an important speech like the State of the Union addressThe president would have been on more solid ground if he had at least cited a study but it would have been better to assert the return was substantial without citing a specific number That claim would not have been in disputeOne Pinocchio()Check out our candidate Follow The Fact Checker on and friend us on Mr. reflects his reluctance to get more deeply involved there. White voters represented 72 percent of the electorate,66. Zofia and the usual suspects will be on hand for todays chat, you might find "gems" on your plate. Cagle calls that a "Yahtzee.” Mark Mazur,Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy wrote in a late Tuesday “We recognize that the vast majority of businesses that will need to do this reporting already provide health insurance to their workers and we want to make sure it is easy for others to do so”The Affordable Care Act requires all employers with more than 50 full-time workers provide health insurance or pay steep fines That policy had raised concerns about companies downsizing their workforce or cutting workers’ hours in order to dodge the new mandateIn delaying the enforcement of that rule the White House sidesteps those challenges for one year It is also the second significant interruption for the Affordable Care Act following a one-year delay on key functions of the small business insurance marketplacesTogether the moves could draw criticism that the administration will not be able to put into effect its signature legislative accomplishment on schedule“We have heard concerns about the complexity of the requirements and the need for more time to implement them effectively," He called Ganslers remarks "out of touch with Maryland values. Gansler spoke candidly about his views on the role of race in the 2014 campaign.
 
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